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Red88
558723.4
331425.0
254929.2
Blue60
716026.8
130528.9
53713.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837440506070901001108860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2549
#46
29.20.2
30.030.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End5.3
red by 0.4
28.90.7
28.828.1
Auto4.2
Teleop16.9
End7.8
Second
3314
#12
25.00.2
24.724.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End6.2
blue by 1.8
7160
#45
26.80.7
27.226.5
Auto4.8
Teleop15.4
End6.6
Third
5587
#40
23.40.2
23.623.9
Auto5.8
Teleop14.1
End3.5
red by 9.6
537
#50
13.80.7
14.513.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned92%HAB Docking oddsEarned