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Red88
517235.9
765623.9
398519.2
Blue63
259025.5
255920.7
350418.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7970405060901008863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.7
35.836.5
Auto5.7
Teleop24.1
End6.1
red by 10.4
2590
#34
25.50.2
26.926.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End4.4
Second
7656
#15
23.90.7
22.022.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End8.4
red by 3.3
2559
#55
20.70.2
20.920.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End5.7
Third
3985
#56
19.20.7
16.817.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.2
red by 0.7
3504
#64
18.50.2
18.918.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned88%HAB Docking oddsEarned