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Red90
505032.8
436233.7
296028.1
Blue83
272317.3
425628.2
447224.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101714060801209083

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#7DQ
33.70.4
34.233.8
Auto4.5
Teleop24.0
End5.2
red by 5.5
4256
#44
28.20.4
27.728.1
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End6.2
Second
32.80.4
33.633.2
Auto5.2
Teleop20.0
End7.5
red by 8.0
4472
#51
24.80.4
23.223.6
Auto3.3
Teleop16.9
End4.6
Third
28.10.4
27.627.3
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End7.8
red by 10.9
2723
#53
17.30.4
16.516.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
27%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsEarned