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Red100
491133.4
348119.8
288124.1
Blue75
133923.1
717930.3
477521.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8078406010012010075

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.2
34.035.2
Auto4.7
Teleop23.2
End5.6
red by 3.1
7179
#21
30.30.1
30.130.2
Auto5.2
Teleop21.1
End3.9
Second
2881
#20
24.11.2
22.724.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.9
End5.2
red by 1.1
1339
#13
23.10.1
22.322.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End6.8
Third
3481
#55
19.81.2
18.619.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.0
End3.4
blue by 1.7
4775
#26
21.50.1
21.021.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsEarned9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned68%HAB Docking oddsEarned