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Red81
393124.9
644327.3
248622.7
Blue52
453424.8
418816.1
708814.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75632040801008152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.7
24.425.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End9.2
red by 2.5
4534
#41
24.81.2
26.525.4
Auto3.3
Teleop16.3
End5.2
Second
3931
#23
24.90.7
24.224.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
red by 8.8
4188
#47
16.11.2
17.316.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End3.5
Third
2486
#29
22.70.7
22.122.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End5.4
red by 8.0
7088
#53
14.71.2
15.914.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsMissed