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Red51
151518.8
210223.8
193923.9
Blue39
429018.5
453424.8
264310.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706740506080905139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#30
23.91.4
22.721.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End5.0
blue by 0.9
4534
#41
24.81.9
29.327.5
Auto3.3
Teleop16.3
End5.2
Second
2102
#17
23.81.4
25.524.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End8.0
red by 5.4
4290
#27
18.51.9
20.618.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.9
Third
1515
#42
18.81.4
17.716.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.6
End3.9
red by 8.3
2643
#67
10.61.9
13.912.0
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsMissed