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Red50
477521.5
393124.9
407923.3
Blue57
551515.9
303926.1
379216.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755840801005057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#23
24.91.4
25.223.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 1.2
3039
#32
26.10.2
24.724.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.7
Second
4079
#19
23.31.5
20.418.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End7.7
red by 6.8
3792
#61
16.50.2
14.915.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End2.0
Third
4775
#26
21.51.4
25.323.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
red by 5.6
5515
#51
15.90.2
14.915.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed