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Red53
429018.5
779614.5
126121.8
Blue39
552614.1
393124.9
264310.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55543040506070805339

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#43Sur
21.80.7
22.221.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End5.9
blue by 3.1
3931
#23
24.90.8
23.823.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Second
4290
#27
18.50.7
18.718.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.9
red by 4.4
5526
#57
14.10.8
15.114.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End3.5
Third
7796
#35
14.50.7
11.210.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End3.3
red by 4.0
2643
#67Sur
10.60.8
12.011.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed