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Red55
174626.7
126121.8
752914.9
Blue54
178516.3
248622.7
208016.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65593040507080901005554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#44
26.70.7
26.225.5
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End3.8
red by 3.9
2486
#29
22.70.1
21.721.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End5.4
Second
1261
#43
21.80.7
21.420.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End5.9
red by 5.0
2080
#54
16.90.1
15.515.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Third
7529
#68
14.90.7
14.313.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 1.4
1785
#60
16.30.1
18.418.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsMissed