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Red54
752914.9
218316.8
440020.5
Blue56
660819.6
151518.8
776712.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535235404550556065705456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#48
20.50.3
18.518.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End4.8
red by 0.9
6608
#37
19.60.5
14.915.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.3
End3.3
Second
2183
#52
16.80.3
17.017.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End5.5
blue by 2.0
1515
#42
18.80.5
17.317.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.6
End3.9
Third
7529
#68
14.90.3
14.514.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End1.7
red by 2.4
7767
#66
12.50.7
16.817.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed