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Red72
393124.9
193923.9
660819.6
Blue61
237515.6
214730.0
425515.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64592040801007261

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#23
24.90.8
22.723.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 5.0
2147
#12
30.00.2
29.029.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End6.2
Second
1939
#30
23.90.8
21.822.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 8.3
2375
#33
15.60.2
14.114.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.7
Third
6608
#37
19.60.8
16.116.9
Auto5.0
Teleop11.3
End3.3
red by 4.2
4255
#34
15.40.2
12.312.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsEarned