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Red64
456123.5
68723.8
772515.7
Blue68
477521.5
429018.5
639015.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67634050607080906468

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#40
23.80.1
22.922.7
Auto3.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
red by 2.3
4775
#26
21.50.6
24.725.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End5.8
Second
4561
#14
23.50.1
24.424.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End5.6
red by 5.1
4290
#27
18.50.6
20.020.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.9
Third
7725
#62
15.70.1
15.815.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.9
red by 0.4
6390
#49
15.30.8
14.715.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed70%HAB Docking oddsEarned