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Red32
552614.1
38626.4
324017.2
Blue101
210223.8
36436.8
500620.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618820408010012032101

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#10
26.41.7
26.024.2
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End6.7
blue by 10.4
364
#1
36.81.2
37.636.3
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End8.3
Second
3240
#15
17.21.7
18.216.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 6.6
2102
#17
23.81.2
25.524.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Third
5526
#57
14.11.7
14.112.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End3.5
blue by 6.8
5006
#38
20.91.2
20.519.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsMissed100%HAB Docking oddsEarned