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Red62
178516.3
214730.0
789116.1
Blue58
248622.7
44214.4
772515.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6754203040506080901006258

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#12
30.00.5
29.128.6
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End6.2
red by 7.2
2486
#29
22.70.5
22.523.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End5.4
Second
1785
#60
16.30.5
17.717.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End2.1
red by 0.6
7725
#62
15.70.5
16.016.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.9
Third
7891
#39
16.10.5
16.816.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End5.0
red by 1.7
442
#56
14.40.5
12.613.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed