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Red73
742628.5
58723.9
193923.9
Blue57
348119.8
418816.1
393124.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746340801007357

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#28
28.50.2
24.624.8
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End2.9
red by 3.5
3931
#23
24.90.1
23.523.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Second
1939
#30
23.90.2
22.622.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End5.0
red by 4.1
3481
#55
19.80.1
18.818.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.0
End3.4
Third
587
#36
23.90.2
22.823.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End3.6
red by 7.8
4188
#47
16.10.1
17.016.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed