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Red71
524218.6
741925.0
789116.1
Blue40
193923.9
379216.5
208016.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66593040507080901007140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#25
25.00.0
23.523.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
red by 1.0
1939
#30
23.91.1
23.722.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End5.0
Second
5242
#59
18.60.0
22.722.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.3
End3.7
red by 1.8
2080
#54
16.91.1
16.215.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Third
7891
#39
16.10.0
16.416.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.7
End5.0
blue by 0.4
3792
#61
16.51.1
15.914.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed