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Red48
324017.2
379216.5
512615.1
Blue67
348119.8
330931.7
302413.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5167204060801004867

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3240
#15
17.20.7
17.516.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 14.4
31.70.0
30.730.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
Second
3792
#61
16.50.7
15.614.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End2.0
blue by 3.4
3481
#55
19.80.0
18.618.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.0
End3.4
Third
5126
#50
15.10.7
15.214.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 1.2
3024
#58
13.90.0
14.414.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsEarned