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Red73
425515.4
44214.4
742628.5
Blue59
776712.5
500620.9
133923.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53572040801007359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7426
#28
28.51.5
24.826.3
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End2.9
red by 5.4
1339
#13
23.10.1
22.222.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End6.8
Second
4255
#34
15.41.5
12.113.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End5.0
blue by 5.4
5006
#38
20.90.1
20.620.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End7.4
Third
442
#56
14.41.5
13.114.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End4.3
red by 1.9
7767
#66
12.50.1
11.511.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned81%HAB Docking oddsEarned