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Red50
708814.7
552614.1
379216.5
Blue96
717930.3
557223.1
33034.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4690204060801001205096

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#61
16.50.4
14.915.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End2.0
blue by 18.4
330
#5
34.90.5
34.334.9
Auto5.5
Teleop23.9
End5.4
Second
7088
#53
14.70.4
15.816.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End4.5
blue by 15.6
7179
#21
30.30.5
29.630.1
Auto5.2
Teleop21.1
End3.9
Third
5526
#57
14.10.4
12.613.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.8
End3.5
blue by 9.0
5572
#24
23.10.5
21.321.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsMissed