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Red32
789511.1
264310.6
44214.4
Blue73
68723.8
324017.2
453424.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397102060801003273

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
442
#56
14.40.3
14.614.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End4.3
blue by 10.4
4534
#41
24.80.2
26.826.5
Auto3.3
Teleop16.3
End5.2
Second
7895
#46
11.10.3
11.110.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End3.6
blue by 12.8
687
#40
23.80.2
23.823.6
Auto3.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
Third
2643
#67
10.60.3
11.110.7
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
blue by 6.7
3240
#15
17.20.2
16.816.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsEarned