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Red52
524218.6
589226.3
752914.9
Blue70
393124.9
512615.1
557223.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64635055606570755270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#11
26.30.5
27.426.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.7
End7.7
red by 1.4
3931
#23
24.90.7
23.624.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.9
Second
5242
#59
18.60.5
18.417.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.3
End3.7
blue by 4.5
5572
#24
23.10.7
21.822.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.5
End4.8
Third
7529
#68
14.90.5
14.413.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 0.2
5126
#50
15.10.7
14.515.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned