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Red65
312821.7
81217.9
126613.7
Blue59
49819.6
374917.7
157217.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5457354045506065706559

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#13
21.70.4
21.021.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End7.4
red by 2.1
498
#15
19.60.1
19.519.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Second
812
#2
17.90.3
17.317.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End7.3
red by 0.2
17.70.1
17.517.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Third
1266
#42
13.70.4
13.013.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End2.6
blue by 3.7
1572
#16
17.40.1
17.217.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End4.1