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Red24
66688.9
162216.5
432214.8
Blue43
762616.0
374917.7
66599.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36312040502443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#29
16.51.2
12.711.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End4.3
blue by 1.1
17.71.5
9.210.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Second
4322
#35
14.81.2
11.310.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.2
blue by 1.2
7626
#23
16.01.5
9.711.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End5.5
Third
6668
#45
8.91.2
10.59.3
Auto4.4
Teleop2.5
End2.0
blue by 1.0
6659
#38
9.91.5
10.411.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned