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Red26
401412.8
669519.4
282710.7
Blue59
244319.3
285316.9
153816.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334110203050602659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6695
#27
19.40.5
9.99.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End3.5
red by 0.1
2443
#25
19.31.9
13.014.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.0
Second
4014
#33
12.80.5
10.810.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End3.5
blue by 4.1
2853
#12
16.91.9
12.414.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
2827
#39
10.70.5
10.29.6
Auto4.9
Teleop2.1
End3.7
blue by 6.1
1538
#31
16.81.9
13.215.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed