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Red36
551417.9
547712.2
244319.3
Blue42
699514.0
162216.5
374917.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394130354045503642

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#25
19.30.1
13.413.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.0
red by 1.6
17.70.4
11.611.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End3.0
Second
5514
#37
17.90.1
12.011.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End2.8
red by 1.3
1622
#29
16.50.4
15.114.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Third
5477
#28
12.20.1
11.411.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 1.8
6995
#18
14.00.4
12.512.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed