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Red45
283920.7
126613.7
271011.6
Blue56
547712.2
762616.0
364726.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4451102030406070804556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.4
16.917.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End6.0
blue by 6.0
26.80.5
22.923.4
Auto5.0
Teleop18.3
End3.4
Second
1266
#42
13.70.4
13.513.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End2.6
blue by 2.3
7626
#23
16.00.9
13.414.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End5.5
Third
2710
#32
11.60.4
11.111.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End1.9
blue by 0.7
5477
#28
12.20.9
11.712.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed