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Red58
690414.5
324517.4
669519.4
Blue30
696010.7
46167.2
762616.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363201020405060705830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6695
#27
19.41.7
11.012.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End3.5
red by 3.4
7626
#23
16.00.7
14.313.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End5.5
Second
3245
#19
17.41.7
10.612.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End4.9
red by 6.7
6960
#30
10.70.7
10.19.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Third
6904
#21
14.51.7
12.013.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.6
red by 7.3
4616
#46
7.20.7
6.25.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed