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Red53
741510.2
283920.7
312821.7
Blue35
162216.5
271011.6
30219.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4936102030406070805335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#13
21.70.7
16.917.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End7.4
red by 5.2
1622
#29
16.50.2
12.412.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Second
20.70.7
17.318.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End6.0
red by 9.2
2710
#32
11.60.2
11.511.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End1.9
Third
7415
#26
10.20.7
12.213.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 1.0
3021
#44
9.20.1
9.89.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed