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Red58
696010.7
364726.8
298415.4
Blue53
244319.3
762616.0
370414.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4744102030406070805853

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.9
23.924.7
Auto5.0
Teleop18.3
End3.4
red by 7.5
2443
#25
19.31.3
15.817.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End4.0
Second
15.40.9
11.612.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End6.7
blue by 0.6
7626
#23
16.01.3
13.514.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End5.5
Third
6960
#30
10.71.5
9.310.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 4.1
3704
#17
14.81.3
11.913.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsEarned