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Red36
491912.9
157217.4
432214.8
Blue34
283920.7
688512.0
263710.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37431020304050603634

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1572
#16
17.40.1
13.213.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End4.1
blue by 3.4
20.70.7
18.017.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End6.0
Second
4322
#35
14.80.1
12.012.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.2
red by 2.8
6885
#36
12.00.7
10.910.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End3.9
Third
4919
#43
12.90.1
10.210.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End3.6
red by 2.2
2637
#41
10.70.7
11.310.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed