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Red58
458511.2
265821.7
370414.8
Blue49
46167.2
432214.8
448125.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504620304060705849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
22.622.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End7.8
blue by 3.2
25.00.3
23.523.8
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End8.7
Second
3704
#17
14.80.1
14.014.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Level
4322
#35
14.80.5
14.414.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Third
4585
#10
11.20.1
11.111.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.1
red by 4.0
4616
#46
7.20.5
6.06.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned53%HAB Docking oddsEarned