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Red57
448619.5
547712.2
49819.6
Blue55
562712.4
66599.9
669519.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46351020304050605755

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
19.61.2
18.119.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.9
red by 0.2
6695
#27
19.41.6
15.817.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.9
End3.5
Second
4486
#20
19.51.3
15.116.4
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End3.0
red by 7.0
5627
#34
12.41.8
10.312.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Third
5477
#28
12.21.3
10.812.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 2.4
6659
#38
9.91.8
7.59.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed