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Red80
549921.3
64927.2
415912.3
Blue70
388016.3
170023.8
339018.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6062405070808070

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#4
27.20.4
25.726.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End8.2
red by 3.5
23.80.2
23.824.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Second
5499
#10
21.30.3
19.920.3
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
red by 2.8
3390
#15
18.60.2
18.618.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Third
4159
#25
12.30.3
10.911.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
blue by 4.0
3880
#13
16.30.2
16.316.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7