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Red47
25319.6
549921.3
497311.4
Blue78
97133.8
741917.8
59248.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40482060804778

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#10
21.30.7
13.714.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
blue by 12.5
971
#1
33.83.0
19.522.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End9.4
Second
253
#21
19.60.7
12.813.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 1.7
17.83.0
12.815.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Third
4973
#17
11.40.7
11.011.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End2.3
red by 2.6
5924
#36
8.83.0
13.116.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned