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Red25
603611.8
388016.3
78476.3
Blue65
25319.6
339018.6
550726.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3545010203040506070802565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#13
16.30.9
13.012.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
blue by 9.7
26.02.5
15.417.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End6.1
Second
6036
#29
11.80.9
12.811.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End2.0
blue by 7.8
253
#21
19.62.5
13.616.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Third
7847
#34
6.30.9
7.16.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 12.2
3390
#15
18.62.5
13.916.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned