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Red46
72457.7
696216.9
476513.1
Blue23
68149.6
418615.8
59248.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404602060804623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6962
#16
16.90.5
15.414.9
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End3.8
red by 1.1
4186
#20
15.82.3
12.510.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Second
4765
#14
13.10.5
14.413.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.8
red by 3.5
6814
#41
9.62.3
15.112.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End3.0
Third
7245
#30
7.70.5
7.97.4
Auto1.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 1.1
5924
#36
8.82.3
16.113.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed