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Red45
25319.6
69208.5
64927.2
Blue29
415912.3
570015.4
74788.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473910203060704529

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#4
27.20.0
15.115.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End8.2
red by 11.8
5700
#26
15.42.3
16.113.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End1.7
Second
253
#21
19.60.0
16.016.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 7.3
4159
#25
12.32.3
10.78.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Third
6920
#39
8.50.0
13.413.5
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End1.9
red by 0.4
7478
#32
8.12.3
10.17.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed