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Red38
214411.2
741917.8
304513.9
Blue72
388016.3
418615.8
97133.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45520204060801003872

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.5
17.016.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End3.4
blue by 16.0
971
#1
33.82.6
26.629.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End9.4
Second
3045
#12
13.90.5
11.310.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End3.6
blue by 2.4
3880
#13
16.32.6
12.114.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Third
2144
#31
11.20.5
14.113.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End2.6
blue by 4.6
4186
#20
15.82.6
10.212.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned