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Red72
339018.6
97133.8
74788.1
Blue64
499016.0
170023.8
418615.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56462040801007264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
33.82.1
29.131.2
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End9.4
red by 10.1
23.82.3
17.619.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Second
3390
#15
18.62.1
16.518.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
red by 2.5
4990
#40
16.02.3
11.814.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
7478
#32
8.12.1
7.59.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End2.2
blue by 7.8
4186
#20
15.82.3
14.016.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed