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Red41
97211.6
68149.6
490417.2
Blue18
66627.8
415912.3
214411.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4029010205060704118

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#37
17.20.3
15.115.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.8
red by 4.9
4159
#25
12.31.0
6.55.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Second
972
#38
11.60.3
10.510.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 0.4
2144
#31
11.21.0
14.913.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End2.6
Third
6814
#41
9.60.3
12.312.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End3.0
red by 1.8
6662
#43
7.81.0
6.05.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed