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Red72
541915.6
696216.9
64927.2
Blue32
66815.1
388016.3
476513.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4745204060807232

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#4
27.23.1
17.620.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End8.2
red by 10.9
3880
#13
16.31.2
13.111.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Second
6962
#16
16.93.1
17.120.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End3.8
red by 1.8
668
#28
15.11.2
14.413.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End3.6
Third
5419
#19
15.63.1
9.312.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End3.0
red by 2.5
4765
#14
13.11.2
15.114.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed