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Red38
594017.0
499016.0
66627.8
Blue63
490417.2
59248.8
25433.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3856020803863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#22
17.00.4
16.816.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End3.2
blue by 16.2
254
#3
33.31.1
28.029.1
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End8.5
Second
4990
#40
16.00.4
14.113.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
blue by 1.1
4904
#37
17.21.1
15.416.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Third
6662
#43
7.80.4
5.04.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 1.0
5924
#36
8.81.1
9.710.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsEarned