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Red43
97211.6
46698.9
25319.6
Blue34
68149.6
603611.8
696216.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41471020306070804334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
#21
19.60.5
17.818.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 2.6
6962
#16
16.91.5
20.218.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Second
972
#38
11.60.5
10.811.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 0.1
6036
#29
11.81.5
11.610.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Third
4669
#33
8.90.5
9.810.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
blue by 0.6
6814
#41
9.61.5
12.711.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsMissed