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Red51
214411.2
25319.6
72457.7
Blue42
46698.9
490417.2
499016.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37431020305060705142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
#21
19.61.8
18.420.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 2.4
4904
#37
17.20.2
16.516.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Second
2144
#31
11.21.7
11.313.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End2.6
blue by 4.8
4990
#40
16.00.2
13.613.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
7245
#30
7.71.7
5.16.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 1.2
4669
#33
8.90.2
10.310.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed