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Red65
10014.0
25319.6
170023.8
Blue37
476513.1
490417.2
214411.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6046203040507080906537

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.8
22.723.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.4
red by 6.6
4904
#37
17.20.9
16.415.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Second
253
#21
19.60.8
20.121.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 6.4
4765
#14
13.10.9
14.313.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Third
100
#23
14.00.8
14.315.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 2.7
2144
#31
11.20.9
13.012.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed