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Red40
499016.0
59248.8
746818.1
Blue48
570015.4
418615.8
541915.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44512030406070804048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.1
18.618.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End4.9
red by 2.3
4186
#20
15.81.2
17.816.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Second
4990
#40
16.00.1
13.513.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
red by 0.4
5419
#19
15.61.2
15.914.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.9
End3.0
Third
5924
#36
8.80.1
9.39.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 6.5
5700
#26
15.41.2
14.213.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed