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Red35
68149.6
67185.5
25319.6
Blue65
170023.8
744517.8
72457.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395120306070803565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
253
#21
19.60.2
21.020.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 4.2
23.80.6
23.424.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Second
6814
#41
9.60.2
10.410.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End3.0
blue by 8.2
7445
#27
17.80.6
17.918.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End4.4
Third
6718
#42
5.50.2
5.45.2
Auto3.3
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 2.3
7245
#30
7.70.6
6.67.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed