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Red63
768611.9
304513.9
570015.4
Blue63
741917.8
10014.0
66627.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060801006363

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#26
15.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.9
End1.7
blue by 2.4
17.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Second
3045
#12
13.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End3.6
blue by 0.1
100
#23
14.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End3.7
Third
7686
#35
11.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 4.1
6662
#43
7.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed