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Red42
170023.8
97211.6
59248.8
Blue57
641814.9
549921.3
388016.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485330405060704257

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.2
24.023.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.4
red by 2.4
5499
#10
21.30.6
19.419.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
Second
972
#38
11.60.2
11.911.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 4.7
3880
#13
16.30.6
15.716.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Third
5924
#36
8.80.2
9.18.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 6.1
6418
#24
14.90.6
14.715.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed