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Red65
696216.9
255122.4
497311.4
Blue53
550726.0
490417.2
66627.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525345505560656553

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#11
22.40.3
22.022.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.2
End4.6
blue by 3.5
26.00.3
25.425.7
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End6.1
Second
6962
#16
16.90.3
16.516.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End3.8
blue by 0.2
4904
#37
17.20.3
16.917.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.8
Third
4973
#17
11.40.3
11.111.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End2.3
red by 3.6
6662
#43
7.80.3
7.57.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsMissed